Poultry farming: Industries identify recovery at the beginning of the year
After a challenging year for the poultry, experts projected moderate relief in the first three months of 2013. The more costs scenario accommodated must stimulate the industry and promote the recovery of the sector, expectations that already confirmed at the beginning of the year.
In January, the poultry farmer’s purchasing power has increased in almost all regions of the country, since the main inputs suffered devaluation in the period, according to the Center for advanced studies in applied economics (Cepea/Esalq), University of São Paulo (USP). In December, 1 kg of chicken bought 2.7 kg of soybean meal. In late January, the same amount spent to buy almost 3 kg of bran-11% improvement on the exchange ratio. For corn, 1 kg of chicken bought 5.3 kg of raw material in December. On the last day of January, it was possible to buy 5.5 kg-3.8% more.
During the month of January, the frozen whole chicken was 35.8% increase in average price in São Paulo, as compared to the same period last year, according to the Cepea. The product was more expensive in comparison with December month that has high consumption due to the holidays, with 1.5% increase in the price of frozen chicken. In addition to this price appreciation in January for this year is still expected high of 7.5% to 9.9% and whole chicken for the chicken into pieces.
According to the Director of operations for Averama, Industry of Paraná – State leader in the production of chickens in the country – Genézio Garbin, the market is putting the price rebound. “Still not with fair prices, but since December has already started to have some profit margin, with possibility of recovery of injury of last year”, he comments.
As for the external market, there has also been improved: in January the chicken meat was in fourth place in the ranking of the main products with the country’s largest foreign exchange revenue. In 2012 the product came up to fifth place in the export tariff.
In addition to the accommodation of grain prices, the improvement in production costs is linked to the reduction of the supply of products and volume of companies on the market. “There has been no increase in consumption, but production fell and the external market remained stable, with the same volume of exports, the reduction of domestic products,” says Gabriel. According to him, with this, it is expected that the sector will reposition and to remain productive and profitable.
For Ciliomar Tortola, Director, GTFoods Group industrial industry of Maringa, Parana, at this point it is necessary to not only keep the solutions used to face the crisis, but work for the variables of the market do not influence either the production. “Evaluate how we can produce at the lowest cost, to invest in technologies that provide value-added products and take quick decisions against the movement of the market must be constants in companies so that the industry’s recovery to materialize”, points out.
As for inputs, the external signs of market stability and the expectation of the summer crop is positive. The last official estimate published at the end of January by the Ministerio da Agricultura, Pecuaria e Abastecimento (Mapa) was 180.4 million tons based on surveys by the national supply company (Conab). “The domestic market is still grain passing through accommodation, but is already stabilized prices. International markets are also more stable and is expected to remain so, “adds Garbin.
Although growth expectations of the Brazilian economy in 2013 are not high, the consumption of chicken meat in Brazil must still grow due to expansion of consumption on the part of classes C and D, according to Brazilian poultry Union (Ubabef). The institution estimates for growth of up to 3%, both in production and exports.
The President of Globoaves, largest producer of hatching eggs and day-old chicks from Latin America, Roberto Kaefer, explains that the arrays of cut last year were reduced by 8%, which should generate in the coming months decreased production of day-old chicks and hatching eggs. “She should fall for volumes that will reduce opportunities for growth in the production of chicken meat. With the lowest bid, the price recovery runs. Chicks a day should cost around r $ 1.00, virtually double the value of last year “.
Copyright : Zaraimedia.com